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51S-55A-Fan cube RO - GNU - SW

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 21 May 2010, at 11:20 p.m.

In Response To: 51S-55A-Fan cube RO (neilkaz)

Just for reference if anyone is interested. They are shortish rollouts but align quite nicely with Neil's longer rollout.

Move number 4: Blue on roll, cube decision?

Stick (Green) vs. (White)

Money session. Score Green-White: 0-0

		Pip: 162
		Game 1 Money session Green-White: Score 0-0
		Pip: 147

Cube action equity
Rollout	Money equity:	0.390
	0.4% 29.5% 60.1% 39.9% 10.4% 0.6%
	95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.390 ±0.013. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 41905 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
1.	No double	0.534
2.	Double, take	0.488	(-0.046)
3.	Double, pass	1.000	(+0.466)
Proper cube action: No double, take			9%

---

White	162
Blue	147
Position ID: 4PPgAUgzTvABMA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.3881
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.5423
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.4577
3.	Double, take	+0.4808	-0.0615
Proper cube action:		No double, take (11.9%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6010 0.2871 0.0056 - 0.3990 0.1020 0.0046 +0.3881 +0.5423 Standard error 0.0014 0.0018 0.0004 - 0.0014 0.0013 0.0003 0.0038 0.0100 Player White owns 2-cube 0.6057 0.2921 0.0047 - 0.3943 0.1015 0.0044 +0.8047 +0.4808 Standard error 0.0016 0.0021 0.0004 - 0.0016 0.0014 0.0004 0.0085 0.0140
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 820812730 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• 51S-55A-Fan cube RO
  neilkaz -- Friday, 21 May 2010, at 8:58 p.m.
  • 51S-55A-Fan cube RO - GNU - SW
    Stick -- Friday, 21 May 2010, at 11:20 p.m.
    • 51S-55A-Fan cube RO - GNU - SW
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 24 May 2010, at 12:59 a.m.
  • 51S-55A-Fan cube RO
    christian munk-christensen -- Saturday, 22 May 2010, at 8:36 a.m.
    • 62S-55-F-C and 21S-55-F-C Rollouts
      Stick -- Saturday, 22 May 2010, at 8:48 a.m.
      • 62S-55-F-C and 21S-55-F-C Rollouts
        christian munk-christensen -- Sunday, 23 May 2010, at 6:20 p.m.
      • 62S-55A-F-C and 21S-55A-F-C data
        Nack Ballard -- Monday, 24 May 2010, at 1:37 a.m.
  • 51S-55A-Fan cube RO
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 24 May 2010, at 12:50 a.m.
  • 51S-55A-Fan cube RO
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 24 May 2010, at 1:38 a.m.