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4-4 roll, your play and reasons?

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 23 May 2010, at 7:16 p.m.

In Response To: 4-4 roll, your play and reasons? (Chuck Bower)

Having done so well with your last 4-4, Chuck (not!) I'll have another go.

Advancing to the 18 point looks too good to pass up (an all out attack is vulnerable to an immediate hit, we're not a favorite to complete a 5-prime, and we'd still have 2 checkers behind a broken 5-prime), so let's do that first.

Now we've partially solved our back checker problem, but since we haven't made the 3 point, an attack seems even more anemic. We won't play 18(2) 3(2); that lets Opp out easier. I also reject 13/9 6/2*; I just escaped two checkers and don't want another sent back 1/3 of the time. 13/5 doesn't give us much more up front, and does give us two stripped outfield points.

So what's left? Run all the way. 22/14(2). Are we behind on pip count? Yes. But with the cube and 1 of Opp's checkers primed, we should be the favorite.

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