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NACK'S POSITION

Posted By: Ray Kershaw
Date: Monday, 24 May 2010, at 9:45 a.m.

In Response To: NACK'S POSITION (Nack Ballard)

There are thousands of paths to victory for White, ranging from speeding home with only 66s to dawdling home with only 21s. Can we be confident that in aggregate these do not add much to White's win probability ? One consideration is that the more rolls White requires, the more often Black has to roll 11. Can we in some way interpolate between exact calculations for only 66s and only 21s ? But we also would need to estimate how many paths there are.

Messages In This Thread

• NACK'S POSITION
  Ray Kershaw -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 9:30 p.m.
  • NACK'S POSITION
    David Rockwell -- Friday, 21 May 2010, at 12:41 a.m.
    • NACK'S POSITION
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 23 May 2010, at 7:04 p.m.
      • NACK'S POSITION
        Ray Kershaw -- Monday, 24 May 2010, at 9:45 a.m.
        • NACK'S POSITION
          Nack Ballard -- Monday, 24 May 2010, at 9:12 p.m.
          • NACK'S POSITION
            Nack Ballard -- Monday, 24 May 2010, at 9:33 p.m.