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BGonline.org Forums
JLee vs. NeilKaz in SF -- #1
Posted By: Stick In Response To: JLee vs. NeilKaz in SF -- #1 (Jason Lee)
Date: Wednesday, 26 May 2010, at 9:37 a.m.
I wouldn't let the cube hit the felt if I was cubed here being down -9 -6 though I can't say that practically against most players I wouldn't double. Is it a theoretical cube? I'm not sure ... but practically I think Neil has to send it here against most opponents figuring even if it is an error it won't be the biggest one of his career and he'll draw a good deal of drops.
Truth is, the 18pt anchor combined with not enough men in the zone for Neil to complete a closeout or even carry out a great should make this an easy take. If you are able to enter immediately, which you're favored to do and even moreso because you were donkey enough to fan last turn so your odds are that much higher given the memory of the dice, then Neil will often be forced to hit loose. Even if you are unable to hit back or come in immediately, he may only have one cover in place at this time and you might get a second swipe. Regardless, you should be able to get in and have plenty of play in this game given your good distribution of spares and forward structure.
A cube in practice without a doubt, a take sans question, v. a bot I would wait a roll and see what happens before shipping it.
Stick
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