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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 7 December 2006, at 2:49 p.m.

In Response To: 42P-53P-42? (Stick)

I consider the 2 point a very deep point and the 3 point a semi deep point. Whenever my opponent makes one of these two points early in the game I take note (if they haven't made the 4 or 5 points in conjunction with it) and try to turn the game into a priming game if possible. Here I thought was the perfect example. Made 3 pt. v. made 4 pt. what's the best gameplan? Pre rollout I preferred bringing two down by a larger margin, I was guessing .02. I want the 5 pt. and I rip two down fairly quickly here.

Money Game
159
161
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
  1 R 13/9 13/11 0.126
    1.1%  18.1%  52.9%    47.1%  14.6%   1.0%
    95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.094 ±0.007. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 162404 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
  2 R 24/20 13/11 0.120 (-0.006)
    1.0%  16.9%  53.1%    46.9%  14.5%   0.8%
    95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.089 ±0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 172274 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.

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