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How to count MWC here,and how much i need to re-double?

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Tuesday, 8 June 2010, at 10:49 a.m.

In Response To: How to count MWC here,and how much i need to re-double? (Gregory Perel)

Creamy has about a 4-roll position. Brownie is way behind. With many of his doublets missing, and excellent chances to miss several times, Brownie's side looks worse than a 5-roll position. And if that's true, Creamy wins way more than 90%. So Brownie wins way less than 10%. Since Brownie can retain about 9% match equity by passing to trail 7-away 1-away, Creamy should redouble to 8, and Brownie should pass.

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