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3-1 to play

Posted By: Casper van der Tak
Date: Tuesday, 8 June 2010, at 6:25 p.m.

In Response To: 3-1 to play (nixo)

8/5*. Then, we cannot use the cube at the score, and have to play this to the end. So don't lift. On the other hand, we do not want to lose a gammon, so don't expose new blots. We are left with 8/5* 6/5*, 8/5* 4/3, and 8/5* 8/7. The last exposes us to additional blots, so I don't think that can be right. Between the last two candidates, let's see how numbers play. After 8/5 6/5, 2s and 4s cover, 3s and 5s can potentially hit on the ace, and 3s and 6s run. Basically all numbers good. After 8/5* 4/3, 3s and 5s cover, 2s and 4s potentially hit on the ace, and 3s and 6s run. Basically all numbers good. Any duplication issues? Yes, potentially duplication of 3s. More severe, I think, after 4/3, because we want more to cover (3s potentially cover after 4/3) than to hit on the ace (3s potentially hit on the ace after the shift).

So 8/5* 6/5 by a small margin.

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