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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 8 June 2010, at 6:28 p.m.

In Response To: 3a4a cube - dbl? take? pass? (Tad Bright)





is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 142
5 point match
pip: 138
score: 1

is Player 1
XGID=--BB-aCCA---d--abbBcAb---A:0:0:-1:00:1:2:0:5:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 67.20% (G: 22.97% B: 1.52%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.80% (G: 8.03% B: 0.95%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.64% (G: 23.37% B: 3.90%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.36% (G: 8.31% B: 1.33%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.656
Double:+1.234
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.730
Double/Take:+0.649 (-0.081)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.270)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
540 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36438452
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.026 (+0.704...+0.756)
Confidence Double: ± 0.049 (+0.600...+0.698)
Double Decision confidence: 99.8%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 18 minutes 10 seconds

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