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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 8 June 2010, at 6:29 p.m.

In Response To: Redouble at 8a-3a? (Paul Weaver)





is Player 2

score: 6
pip: 90
9 point match
pip: 115
score: 1

is Player 1
XGID=----BCDBB----Aa--ebb-b-baA:1:1:1:00:1:6:0:9:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
  Player Winning Chances: 41.56% (G: 7.82% B: 0.22%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 58.44% (G: 4.99% B: 0.13%)
Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 42.25% (G: 8.60% B: 0.34%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 57.75% (G: 6.41% B: 0.21%)
 
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:-0.095
Redouble:+0.491
 
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.133 (-0.353)
Redouble/Take:+0.486
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.514)
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
 
Rollout details
324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36438452
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
 
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.016 (+0.117...+0.149)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.034 (+0.451...+0.520)
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
 
Duration: 6 minutes 09 seconds

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