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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 12 June 2010, at 3:49 p.m.

In Response To: Positions from Chicago Semis Match - Ray v. Stick #12 (Stick)

This was such a bot double I couldn't resist.





is Ray

score: 2
pip: 147
9 point match
pip: 135
score: 2

is Stick
XGID=-aa-BBB-CB--cC-a-b-bcb--A-:0:0:1:00:2:2:0:9:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
  Player Winning Chances: 65.17% (G: 20.61% B: 1.42%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.83% (G: 8.62% B: 0.47%)
Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.46% (G: 21.04% B: 1.66%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.54% (G: 8.50% B: 0.70%)
 
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.439
Double:+0.923
 
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.637 (-0.019)
Double/Take:+0.656
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.344)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
 
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36438452
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
 
Confidence No Double: ± 0.010 (+0.626...+0.647)
Confidence Double: ± 0.015 (+0.641...+0.670)
 
Double Decision confidence: 98.1%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
 
Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes

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