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2 unit cap money game puzzler -- spoiler

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 11:39 p.m.

In Response To: 2 unit cap money game puzzler (bob koca)

Here is my submission:

Cube currently centered at 1, capped at 2
Blue on roll

1) blue is on roll with the cube centered in a game with a 2 unit table stakes maximum.

Okay. Condition 1 satisfied/granted as stated in the captions of the diagram.

2) blue's win chance if the game is played out perfectly at DMP is greater than 50% and less than 75%.

Blue's chance of winning is 51.8% (according to Snowie eval). Condition 2 is satisfied.

3) cubing is a theoretical error.

And then explain why you think your position satisfies these requirements.

It appears the best Blue/White sequence is 66-42 played 14/2 8/2(2), 16/12 13/11 (say), after which Blue is only 60% or so -- not close to a cash. Hence, Blue cannot lose his market.

OTOH, Blue can roll the 55 nightmare, which makes him at best 29.7% (Snowie's eval). He would regret this sequence where he would like to have passed White's cube.

Did I properly understand your intent?

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• 2 unit cap money game puzzler
  bob koca -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 10:36 p.m.
  • 2 unit cap money game puzzler
    Alejandro -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 10:55 p.m.
    • 2 unit cap money game puzzler
      bob koca -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 11:17 p.m.
      • 2 unit cap money game puzzler
        Alejandro -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 11:23 p.m.
        • 2 unit cap money game puzzler
          bob koca -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 11:31 p.m.
        • 2 unit cap money game puzzler
          Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 11:33 p.m.
  • 2 unit cap money game puzzler
    Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 11:09 p.m.
    • 2 unit cap money game puzzler
      bob koca -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 11:20 p.m.
      • 2 unit cap money game puzzler
        Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 11:31 p.m.
  • 2 unit cap money game puzzler -- spoiler
    Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 11:39 p.m.
    • 2 unit cap money game puzzler -- spoiler
      bob koca -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 12:23 a.m.
      • 2 unit cap money game puzzler -- correction
        Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 1:46 a.m.
        • 2 unit cap money game puzzler -- correction
          Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 1:59 a.m.
  • 2 unit cap money game puzzler
    Joe Russell -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 2:05 a.m.
    • 2 unit cap money game puzzler
      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 5:39 p.m.
  • 2 unit cap money game puzzler
    Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 4:52 a.m.
    • 2 unit cap money game puzzler (correction)
      Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 5:01 a.m.
      • 2 unit cap money game puzzler (correction)
        Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 5:35 p.m.
      • 2 unit cap money game puzzler (2nd correction)
        Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 9:44 p.m.
        • 2 unit cap money game puzzler (2nd correction)
          Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 10:06 p.m.
        • 2 unit cap money game puzzler (2nd correction)
          Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 17 June 2010, at 3:15 p.m.
          • (last correction, one can hope)
            Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 17 June 2010, at 3:26 p.m.