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A snake's tail end

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 2:35 a.m.

In Response To: A snake's tail end (Daniel Murphy)

OTB Blue hit. Gnubg 2- and 4-ply don't.

Money game. Blue to play 4-2.

White	38
Blue	58
Position ID: /z8AACDe2yYAAA Match ID: QgkKAAAAAAAA

• Blue moves 8/4 3/1*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	8/4 3/1*	+0.7488
			0.8768 0.0291 0.0004 - 0.1232 0.0009 0.0000 +0.7821 +0.7488 0.0006 0.0004 0.0000 - 0.0006 0.0001 0.0000 0.0012 0.0015
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 892375712 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	8/4 2/off	+0.7223 ( -0.0265)
			0.8704 0.0171 0.0002 - 0.1296 0.0000 0.0000 +0.7581 +0.7223 0.0003 0.0003 0.0000 - 0.0003 0.0000 0.0000 0.0006 0.0008
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 892375712 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

1. Cubeful 2-ply 8/4 2/off Eq.: +0.7201

0.8750 0.0114 0.0001 - 0.1250 0.0000 0.0000

2. Cubeful 2-ply 8/4 3/1* Eq.: +0.7028 ( -0.0173)

0.8655 0.0183 0.0002 - 0.1345 0.0008 0.0000

1. Cubeful 3-ply 8/4 3/1* Eq.: +0.7186

0.8667 0.0288 0.0000 - 0.1333 0.0012 0.0000

2. Cubeful 3-ply 8/4 2/off Eq.: +0.7152 ( -0.0033)

0.8714 0.0142 0.0000 - 0.1286 0.0000 0.0000

1. Cubeful 4-ply 8/4 2/off Eq.: +0.7236

0.8753 0.0137 0.0002 - 0.1247 0.0000 0.0000

2. Cubeful 4-ply 8/4 3/1* Eq.: +0.7202 ( -0.0034)

0.8705 0.0214 0.0002 - 0.1295 0.0008 0.0000

ROLLOUTS

Play: 0-ply cubeful, Cube: 0-ply cubeful
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn., 2592 games, seed 892375712

1. Rollout 8/4 3/1* Eq.: +0.7428

0.8744 0.0282 0.0004 - 0.1256 0.0010 0.0000 CL +0.7765 CF +0.7428

[0.0006 0.0006 0.0001 - 0.0006 0.0001 0.0000 CL 0.0014 CF 0.0019]

2. Rollout 8/4 2/off Eq.: +0.7213 ( -0.0215)

0.8697 0.0170 0.0002 - 0.1303 0.0000 0.0000 CL +0.7566 CF +0.7213

[0.0003 0.0004 0.0001 - 0.0003 0.0000 0.0000 CL 0.0008 CF 0.0012]

Full cubeful rollout with var. redn., 2592 games, seed 892375712
Play: 0-ply cubeful, Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune

1. Rollout 8/4 3/1* Eq.: +0.7420

0.8746 0.0282 0.0004 - 0.1254 0.0010 0.0000 CL +0.7769 CF +0.7420

[0.0006 0.0006 0.0001 - 0.0006 0.0001 0.0000 CL 0.0014 CF 0.0019]

2. Rollout 8/4 2/off Eq.: +0.7211 ( -0.0209)

0.8698 0.0170 0.0002 - 0.1302 0.0000 0.0000 CL +0.7569 CF +0.7211

[0.0003 0.0004 0.0001 - 0.0003 0.0000 0.0000 CL 0.0008 CF 0.0011]

Messages In This Thread

• A snake's tail end
  Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 8:07 p.m.
  • A snake's tail end
    Stick -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 8:20 p.m.
  • A snake's tail end
    John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 15 June 2010, at 10:54 p.m.
  • A snake's tail end
    Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 12:44 a.m.
    • A snake's tail end
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 2:09 a.m.
      • A snake's tail end
        Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 3:40 a.m.
        • A snake's tail end
          Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 4:00 a.m.
        • Two variants
          Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 4:34 a.m.
          • Two variants
            Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 5:21 a.m.
            • Two variants
              Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 5:42 a.m.
              • Two variants
                Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 5:54 a.m.
                • Two variants
                  Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 7:20 p.m.
                  • Two variants
                    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 8:46 p.m.
                    • Two variants
                      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 8:54 p.m.
                      • Two variants
                        Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 10:19 p.m.
                        • Two variants
                          Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 10:54 p.m.
                          • Two variants
                            Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 11:44 p.m.
                    • Two variants
                      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 9:03 p.m.
  • A snake's tail end
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 1:33 a.m.
  • A snake's tail end
    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 2:35 a.m.
    • A snake's tail end RO above *NM*
      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 2:45 a.m.