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2 unit cap money game puzzler

Posted By: Rich Munitz
Date: Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 4:52 a.m.

In Response To: 2 unit cap money game puzzler (bob koca)

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 40
7
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 70
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=aBBBBCC----------A----cbb-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 61.32% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.68% (G: 0.03% B: 0.00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.226
Double:+0.460
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.373
Double/Take:+0.233 (-0.139)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.627)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14

I screwed up and this fails condition (1) because black is not on roll here. But I believe it otherwise qualifies.

If we trust XGR+'s eval to be close, then the player on roll wins about 61% satisfying condition (2).

It is technically not a double here satisfying condition (3) because the player on roll has no market losers, AND his opponent does have a market loser but will not otherwise be doubling. If the player on roll rolls 66, he blots, and if his opponent responds with 66, he is nearly gin and has lost his market.

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