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Cube

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Wednesday, 16 June 2010, at 4:41 p.m.

In Response To: Cube (Leonardo Jerkovic)

Brunette's 2-cube takepoint ATS is the normal 25%, 2-cube gammon values are around 63% for both sides, and blonde's 4-cube takepoint is around 28% less around 3% for recube vig. There's not a lot of g's here, maybe around a net of 10% for blonde. Putting all this together, I think brunette needs around 26% cubeless chances to take.

Not at all clear that he wins this often, so the double looks clear. Can brunette take this? D4,53, and 33 are jokers, 14 more numbers cover the 5 and 41 makes the 4. Maybe brunette wins 10% of these 20 games. 6 numbers leave a mostly winning direct shot and 8 more lift the 5-pt blot and leave around 6 flys. 51 is sort of a neutral roll. I'd give brunette about 4.5 wins in these 16 games which totals 6.5/36, well below the 26% figure needed.

D/P.

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