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4ply, 2.5k

Posted By: mtuhtan
Date: Monday, 21 June 2010, at 8:28 a.m.

In Response To: 3ply rollout, 20k (mtuhtan)

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 176 Money session Beaver pip: 147 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=aaB-aBB-B---dE--Ac-e----A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:2:0:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	68,13% (G: 29,84% B: 2,08%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	31,87% (G: 6,56% B: 0,33%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	68,04% (G: 31,08% B: 2,35%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	31,96% (G: 6,77% B: 0,39%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0,613
Double:	+1,247
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0,846 (-0,143)
Double/Take:	+0,989
Double/Drop:	+1,000 (+0,011)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 1296 Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply Search interval: Large
Confidence No Double:	± 0,009 (+0,837...+0,855)
Confidence Double:	± 0,015 (+0,974...+1,004)
Double Decision confidence:	100,0%
Take Decision confidence:	93,3%
Duration: 14 hours 58 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14

I know this rollout needs extension, but it took 15 hours to do 2.5k trials, and it would probably need extension to at least 10k (another 45 hours) so I will not extend it.

Messages In This Thread

• 5th roll, cube action?
  mtuhtan -- Friday, 18 June 2010, at 11:57 p.m.
  • 41S-44K-54-31P-F-C?
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 19 June 2010, at 12:16 a.m.
  • 5th roll, cube action?
    Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 19 June 2010, at 12:32 a.m.
  • 5th roll, cube action?
    garyo -- Saturday, 19 June 2010, at 6:46 a.m.
    • 41S-44K-54>-31P-F-C
      Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 19 June 2010, at 6:51 p.m.
      • slight correction
        Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 19 June 2010, at 6:56 p.m.
  • Fifth or sixth? Issue of terminology
    Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 19 June 2010, at 7:10 p.m.
    • Fifth or sixth? Issue of terminology
      mtuhtan -- Sunday, 20 June 2010, at 5:20 p.m.
      • Fifth or sixth? Issue of terminology
        Stick -- Sunday, 20 June 2010, at 5:35 p.m.
        • Fifth or sixth? Issue of terminology
          mtuhtan -- Sunday, 20 June 2010, at 5:45 p.m.
      • Fifth or sixth? Issue of terminology
        Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 20 June 2010, at 5:35 p.m.
        • Fifth or sixth? Issue of terminology
          Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 20 June 2010, at 5:42 p.m.
          • Fifth or sixth? Issue of terminology
            mtuhtan -- Sunday, 20 June 2010, at 5:47 p.m.
      • Fifth or sixth? Issue of terminology
        Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 20 June 2010, at 10:03 p.m.
        • Fifth or sixth? Issue of terminology
          Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 20 June 2010, at 10:33 p.m.
        • Nactations of 31P-41S-44 — 2011 Update
          Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 10:03 a.m.
          • Nactations of 31P-41S-44 — 2011 Update
            Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 5:00 p.m.
            • Nactations of 31P-41S-44 — 2011 Update
              Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 6:21 p.m.
              • Nactations of 31P-41S-44 — 2011 Update
                Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 9:30 p.m.
                • Nactations of 31P-41S-44 — 2011 Update
                  Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 11:53 p.m.
  • 3ply rollout, 20k
    mtuhtan -- Monday, 21 June 2010, at 8:23 a.m.
    • 4ply, 2.5k
      mtuhtan -- Monday, 21 June 2010, at 8:28 a.m.
      • XG Trunc 2ply RO
        Leonardo Jerkovic -- Monday, 21 June 2010, at 12:47 p.m.
  • 42P-41S-44K-56-double? Rollout
    mtuhtan -- Monday, 21 June 2010, at 11:22 a.m.