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We don't agree and here's a 2 ply RO to show you

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 22 June 2010, at 12:16 a.m.

In Response To: Opening 41 at GG.. XG 4 ply RO (Leonardo Jerkovic)

Using any play lower than 3 ply for XG or equivilent 2 ply for GNU to RO any slightly complicated situation like this is close to being a waste of time.

2 ply lookahead is too weak to take the best advantage of being able to play from the GG score. For more proof, compare the rolled out g11 table (GNU 0-ply) to the RO'd R/K table (GNU 2 ply Supremo). 2-ply is also less likely to do as well as higher plies from the holding or back game that often results when the slots get hit.





is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 167
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 167
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:14:0:1:1:2:10
to play 14

1.Rollout124/23 13/9eq: +0.286
Player:
Opponent:
50.14% (G:14.36% B:1.60%)
49.86% (G:17.79% B:2.34%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.282...+0.290)
Duration: 5 minutes 37 seconds
2.Rollout113/9 6/5eq: +0.260 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:
48.92% (G:14.28% B:1.70%)
51.08% (G:20.64% B:3.77%)
Conf: ± 0.004 (+0.256...+0.264)
Duration: 6 minutes 24 seconds
1 19940 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 87427665
Moves and cube decisions: 2 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

As for 5 ply vs 4 ply or 3 ply RO's I have no idea. I also won't be doing any 5 ply opening RO's since they take about 20 times as long as 4 ply and since I will wait for XG2 and capability to use the stronger and 3 times faster XGR+ for RO's, likely with NN's that are at least a bit stronger than current.

.. neilkaz ..

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