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RO is very close for money

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 22 June 2010, at 1:11 a.m.

In Response To: Positions from Nunez-Munitz Match #1 (Stick)

I used 4 ply cube since it did a clearly better job of evaluating the original position so I expect it will make less cube errors later





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 142
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 127
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=---b--EBC-B-cC---cad---b--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 74.92% (G: 4.41% B: 0.19%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.08% (G: 1.89% B: 0.06%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.99% (G: 4.23% B: 0.20%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.01% (G: 1.89% B: 0.07%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.498
Double:+1.049
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.893 (-0.003)
Double/Take:+0.896
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.104)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 48244592
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.005 (+0.888...+0.898)
Confidence Double: ± 0.005 (+0.891...+0.901)
Double Decision confidence: 78.5%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 38 minutes 38 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14

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