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61P-32 - 3 ply - TCTC

Posted By: Ian Shaw
Date: Wednesday, 23 June 2010, at 12:21 p.m.

In Response To: 61P-32 - 3 ply - TCTC (David Rockwell)

What factors favour the reverse split compared to the normal split? It seems to me that:

  • 32Z duplicates men two-apart on the offensive side, meaning that there will be fewer point-making rolls.
  • The 22-point anchor is not as good as the 21 point.
  • Playing 13/10 instead of 13/11 at least doubles the opponent's rolls that run and hit (63 54 33? vs. 64)
  • The immediate danger of being blitzed with 55.

    Both splits remain almost equal, so probably of more significance is that bringing two down with 13/10 13/11 fares worse. I surmise that the reasons for its demise include:

  • The opponent already has the beginnings of a prime, but is currently short of builders to extend it. Therefore it becomes more important to split, bidding to make an advanced anchor and to threaten the outfield.
  • Hits on the oufield blots now hurt more because White's blocking structure is better than at the opening.
  • Bringing two down steers toward a priming game, where you are already behind.

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