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OLM We 06/23/10

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Thursday, 24 June 2010, at 5:30 a.m.

In Response To: OLM We 06/23/10 (Jason Lee)

First step in the analysis is to realize we are getting cubed. Assuming we take this means we will get to play the game out. Our gammon losses look to then be about a normal value and our cash point looks to be raised a bit.

If we keep the straggler on the 23 point then there are some immediate swings in our favor on 62 and 43 which become blotting rolls. However moving ahead to the 22 point will give a large swing to us on our 66, and also allows us to spring it and keep the midpoint with a 63 and 65.

Those swings are likely to persist a few rolls and especially on the first roll since our opponent will be dealing with safetying instead of attacking.

I'll vote b/23 8/7 and think it is very close.

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