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BGonline.org Forums
Scary Giant Cube Decision
Posted By: Rich Munitz In Response To: Scary Giant Cube Decision (adambulldog)
Date: Saturday, 26 June 2010, at 5:39 p.m.
Possession of the bar point makes a huge difference in these holding games as it greatly increases the chances of clearing safely now or in the future. Normally you are very hesitant to double at 2-away many-away, but high win, mutually very low gammon positions are exactly where doubling at such scores make sense.
Here there's a 21 pip lead and anything that clears the midpoint would be a solid market loss both here and for money. This would be a clear money double, and with the very low gammons on both sides it seems like a clear double here as well.
I think there's just enough contact and racing chances left to take for money. A few pips bigger lead, or a bit less contact and I'd think it becomes a pass. At this score, I think the take is more comfortable, particularly because any small amount of gammons there might be work fully in favor of the taker.
D/T
The only reason to not double here is if the opponent is weak enough so that there is decent likelihood that they will still take after a roll that clears the midpoint - either because they think its a take, or because they think that taking gives them the best chance to beat the stronger opponent. Against close competition, turn the cube and roll the dice. I think Petko should cube this against Adam.
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