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action double

Posted By: Casper van der Tak
Date: Tuesday, 29 June 2010, at 10:50 a.m.

In Response To: action double (christian munk-christensen)

I double this, but without the great deal of confidence of some of the others posting here. I am not sure how many gammons Blue wins - yes i see the 4 blots and beautiful homeboard / prime, but I also see that Blue's checkers are far away, so believe that White will very often get an anchor and be able to play from there. I think Blue's gammon wins may be around 40% of his total wins. Most of White wins start with a dance, so I guess about 60% of White wins will be gammons.

I guess that Blue will win slightly more than 50% of the games, and that this is a close double at the score, because of the potential of huge market losses on this exchange.

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