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How hard to try for 2nd checker

Posted By: Casper van der Tak
Date: Thursday, 1 July 2010, at 5:59 a.m.

In Response To: How hard to try for 2nd checker (Bob Koca)

I agree. Aiming for a second checker is kind of fun, but you should be able to do so safely, and here you are leaving an immediate 61 joker and 11 semi-joker. You are also not likely to make the bar. As you are a favorite to win the game if you just close out the checker, your gain from picking up a second one is not as big as it can be. Conclusions:

(1) you will not often pick up a second checker from here;

(2) the gain when you pick up a second checker is not very large;

(3) if you fail to pick up a second checker and your opponent jokers home, the loss is big;

(4) the joker home scenario happens quite often;

(5) not closing the homeboard may mean Chocolate improves his race

All this means that in this position, not closing out is likely a significant error.

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