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Rollout: Crunch cube at score

Posted By: Jeremy Bagai
Date: Thursday, 1 July 2010, at 10:51 p.m.

In Response To: Crunch cube at score (Jeremy Bagai)

1.15 pass for money.
Huge take and clear no double at score.
(It's a wonder I ever win a match.)





is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 111
7 point match
pip: 103
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=--CcEC-B-----------bbbccB-:1:-1:-1:00:0:2:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 73.31% (G: 19.74% B: 1.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.69% (G: 3.89% B: 0.13%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.45% (G: 19.82% B: 1.61%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.55% (G: 4.44% B: 0.16%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.645
Redouble:+1.043
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.772
Redouble/Take:+0.648 (-0.125)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.228)
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take
Rollout details
432 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.014 (+0.758...+0.787)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.027 (+0.621...+0.675)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 4 minutes 19 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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