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RO says flip a coin

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 4 July 2010, at 3:53 p.m.

In Response To: OLM We 06/30/10 (Jason Lee)

TCTC here and no time for longer as need to check out of hotel. Note that my first RO had us holding only a 2 cube and that made it clear to play on.




is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 113
15 point match
pip: 118
score: 4

is Player 1
XGID=a-ABBBCB---------edcC---b-:2:1:1:00:4:2:0:15:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 83.57% (G: 31.93% B: 0.29%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 16.43% (G: 2.05% B: 0.03%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 84.67% (G: 28.13% B: 0.85%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 15.33% (G: 2.57% B: 0.06%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.918
Redouble:+1.315
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+1.001
Redouble/Take:+1.210 (+0.209)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (-0.001)
Best Cube action: Too Good to Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
1060 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.008 (+0.992...+1.009)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.014 (+1.196...+1.224)
Double Decision confidence: 58.4%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 10 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.19.140.beta, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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