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XG RO

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 5 July 2010, at 4:56 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout: Slightly unusual late-midgame cube decision (Stick)

See if Tim is any happier if the bottom line is D/T instead of ND/T even though the equities are in the same ballpark.

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 106 Money session pip: 87 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=-ABBbBD--aC-A------bbdbb--:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	74.95% (G: 4.34% B: 0.09%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	25.05% (G: 1.85% B: 0.07%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	75.10% (G: 4.70% B: 0.10%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24.90% (G: 1.98% B: 0.07%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0.524
Redouble:	+1.059
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0.911 (-0.002)
Redouble/Take:	+0.913
Redouble/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.087)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 27626356 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble:	± 0.005 (+0.907...+0.916)
Confidence Redouble:	± 0.007 (+0.907...+0.920)
Double Decision confidence:	68.1%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 16 minutes 09 seconds

Messages In This Thread

• Slightly unusual late-midgame cube decision
  Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 4 July 2010, at 3:53 a.m.
  • Slightly unusual late-midgame cube decision
    Paul Weaver -- Sunday, 4 July 2010, at 5:10 a.m.
  • Rollout: Slightly unusual late-midgame cube decision
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 5 July 2010, at 4:28 a.m.
    • Rollout: Slightly unusual late-midgame cube decision
      Stick -- Monday, 5 July 2010, at 4:41 a.m.
      • XG RO
        Stick -- Monday, 5 July 2010, at 4:56 a.m.
        • XG RO
          Timothy Chow -- Monday, 5 July 2010, at 5:56 p.m.
          • XG RO
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 5 July 2010, at 6:58 p.m.