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Rollout: mamabear might like this one...

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 6 July 2010, at 3:06 a.m.

In Response To: I rolled the wrong seven (Timothy Chow)

...in the sense that 13/8 6/4 is too bold, 13/6 (which I played OTB) is too timid, and 13/11 13/8 is just right. (I always liked Linus's argument that mamabear should be the one that's "just right.") I wouldn't have even considered slotting the 4 point had I not just studied this position. But 13/8 6/4 is far too reckless here, and I think that even if I had rolled 4-2 it would have been wrong to play 13/9 6/4.

gnubg122


2O2X2X1X2X3X '1X ' ' '4O

 '2X2O '2O3O2O ' ' ' '2X

tchow148

Position ID: tnaCARjMbuABMA Match ID: cAkVACAAcAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 13/11 13/8 -0.192
0.4600.1220.006-0.5400.2430.028 -0.224 -0.192
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 890200154 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 13/6 -0.287 ( -0.094)
0.4380.1210.006-0.5620.2070.016 -0.221 -0.287
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 890200154 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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