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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout: mamabear might like this one...
Posted By: Timothy Chow In Response To: I rolled the wrong seven (Timothy Chow)
Date: Tuesday, 6 July 2010, at 3:06 a.m.
...in the sense that 13/8 6/4 is too bold, 13/6 (which I played OTB) is too timid, and 13/11 13/8 is just right. (I always liked Linus's argument that mamabear should be the one that's "just right.") I wouldn't have even considered slotting the 4 point had I not just studied this position. But 13/8 6/4 is far too reckless here, and I think that even if I had rolled 4-2 it would have been wrong to play 13/9 6/4.
gnubg 122
tchow 148 Position ID: tnaCARjMbuABMA Match ID: cAkVACAAcAAA
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 13/11 13/8 -0.192
0.460 0.122 0.006 - 0.540 0.243 0.028 -0.224 -0.192 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.005 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 890200154 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 13/6 -0.287 ( -0.094)
0.438 0.121 0.006 - 0.562 0.207 0.016 -0.221 -0.287 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.005 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 890200154 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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