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semis recube

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 7 July 2010, at 4:02 p.m.

In Response To: semis recube (Stick)

David's 65, I would pay now for sure and quickly as I expect things to get worse.

As for the recube, it is easy to see that this is a take AtS. David's ME is about 20% if he passes (a tad less per R/K). Kit misses 13 times and cannot take the recube AtS (I'd be shocked if he could take). So conservatively can David win 1 of the 23 games when he's hit? Certain I think so noting 16 from the roof may hit and 11 may hit plus later chances to anchor and steal or hit while Kit is bearing off. That makes at least 14 wins for David. These wins make the match 50/50. Half of 14 is 7 and 7/36 is almost 20% so David almost has a take if he's always G'd when he loses. However, since David can often save G and I think can win more than 1 of the 23 times when he's hit (inspite of double hits) he should take here AtS.

.. neilkaz ..

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