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OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 8 July 2010, at 12:47 a.m.

In Response To: Good enough to cube? (neilkaz)

OTB I could tell that cubing this was certainly aggressive but 27 #'s hit and I'd certainly be happy with 55. Hit/dance looks like a market loss and I also have decent G chances, while being unlikely to lose one.

I decided that my 1-0 lead to 9 wasn't enough to cause me to not cube. Steve took, of course, and these would be the last two points for me this match.

	is Steve Sax score: 2 pip: 149 11 point match pip: 147 score: 3 is Neil Kazaross
XGID=--a-BBDa----dE---c-dBb----:0:0:1:00:3:2:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	62.75% (G: 22.69% B: 0.73%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	37.25% (G: 6.05% B: 0.26%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	62.99% (G: 23.51% B: 0.76%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	37.01% (G: 6.11% B: 0.31%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.446
Double:	+0.964
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.620 (-0.014)
Double/Take:	+0.633
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.367)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 50780894 Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Double:	± 0.007 (+0.613...+0.627)
Confidence Double:	± 0.010 (+0.623...+0.644)
Double Decision confidence:	98.5%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 4 hours 43 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Good enough to cube?
  neilkaz -- Tuesday, 6 July 2010, at 1:55 a.m.
  • Good enough to cube?
    lenny -- Tuesday, 6 July 2010, at 2:41 a.m.
  • Good enough to cube?
    John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 6 July 2010, at 2:45 a.m.
  • Good enough to cube?
    adambulldog -- Tuesday, 6 July 2010, at 2:57 a.m.
  • Good enough to cube?
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 6 July 2010, at 3:11 a.m.
  • Good enough to cube?
    Sam Pottle -- Tuesday, 6 July 2010, at 4:41 a.m.
  • Good enough to cube?
    Tad Bright -- Tuesday, 6 July 2010, at 4:48 a.m.
  • Good enough to cube?
    johnk -- Tuesday, 6 July 2010, at 5:16 a.m.
  • Good enough to cube?
    garyo -- Tuesday, 6 July 2010, at 6:21 a.m.
  • Good enough to cube?
    christian munk-christensen -- Tuesday, 6 July 2010, at 6:33 a.m.
  • Good enough to cube?
    Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 6 July 2010, at 7:18 a.m.
  • Good enough to cube?
    misja -- Tuesday, 6 July 2010, at 7:58 a.m.
  • Good enough to cube?
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 7 July 2010, at 2:35 p.m.
  • OTB and RO
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 8 July 2010, at 12:47 a.m.