Is there a match score involved? Just wondering, but why did someone open with 32D instead of 32S? Why did someone respond with 51S instead of 51$? If no correct plays have been made so far this game, why the sudden concern with playing accurately on the third roll?
Aside from the above considerations, the position is interesting. I am posting the position and XG eval below. I would be interested in seeing a rollout, but it would probably need to be long to be meaningful.
        
    
           
 |  is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 161 | Money session
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 162
score: 0
 is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-aa---E-C-AAdC---d-e----B-:0:0:1:41:0:0:3:0:10 |
| to play 41 |
| 1. | 4 ply | 24/20 11/10 | eq: +0.036 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.13% (G:12.38% B:0.53%)
48.87% (G:12.18% B:0.47%) | |
|
| 2. | 4 ply | 11/7 8/7 | eq: +0.035 (-0.001) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.74% (G:14.04% B:0.53%)
49.26% (G:13.03% B:0.70%) | |
|
| 3. | 4 ply | 6/2* 2/1* | eq: +0.024 (-0.012) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.03% (G:15.60% B:0.55%)
49.97% (G:13.80% B:0.84%) | |
|
| 4. | 4 ply | 13/9 10/9 | eq: -0.006 (-0.042) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.64% (G:13.62% B:0.53%)
50.36% (G:13.35% B:0.74%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12