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3/4 RO longer

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 10 July 2010, at 1:44 a.m.

In Response To: OLM We 06/30/10 ROLLOUT (Timothy Chow)

4 ply cube is a better judge in this position. But still not really TG.





is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 113
15 point match
pip: 118
score: 4

is Player 1
XGID=a-ABBBCB---------edcC---b-:2:1:1:00:4:2:0:15:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 83.48% (G: 31.30% B: 0.40%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 16.52% (G: 2.44% B: 0.11%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 84.61% (G: 28.41% B: 0.95%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 15.39% (G: 2.78% B: 0.12%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.907
Redouble:+1.312
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.992 (-0.008)
Redouble/Take:+1.208 (+0.208)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 50780894
Moves: 3 ply, cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.003 (+0.990...+0.995)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.004 (+1.203...+1.212)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 52 minutes 27 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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