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Rollout: Awkward roll: What's the least bad play?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 12 July 2010, at 2:11 a.m.

In Response To: Awkward roll: What's the least bad play? (Timothy Chow)

OTB I played 13/6, not wanting to get hit. If White had a five-point board then maybe 13/6 would be a viable candidate, but here it seems to be worth leaving a shot for the sake of alleviating my inflexibility problems next roll (which 13/6 does not). I did not roll out Chuck's suggestion of making the 5 point because it didn't look close.

gnubg	147
tchow	164
Position ID: 2N3AACPgs+EBMA Match ID: UQkOABAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	13/9 6/3	-0.535
			0.288 0.058 0.002 - 0.712 0.268 0.020 -0.652 -0.535 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.004 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 889623354 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	13/10 13/9	-0.575 ( -0.040)
			0.281 0.056 0.002 - 0.719 0.288 0.024 -0.693 -0.575 0.002 0.001 0.000 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.004 0.006
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 889623354 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	13/6	-0.598 ( -0.063)
			0.264 0.055 0.003 - 0.736 0.277 0.015 -0.706 -0.598 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.004 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 889623354 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Awkward roll: What's the least bad play?
  Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 11 July 2010, at 2:33 a.m.
  • Awkward roll: What's the least bad play?
    garyo -- Sunday, 11 July 2010, at 3:10 p.m.
    • Awkward roll: What's the least bad play?
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 11 July 2010, at 7:21 p.m.
  • Awkward roll: What's the least bad play?
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 11 July 2010, at 3:25 p.m.
  • Awkward roll: What's the least bad play?
    Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 11 July 2010, at 4:12 p.m.
    • Awkward roll: What's the least bad play?
      Bob Koca -- Monday, 12 July 2010, at 3:44 a.m.
      • Awkward roll: What's the least bad play?
        Chuck Bower -- Monday, 12 July 2010, at 1:08 p.m.
  • Rollout: Awkward roll: What's the least bad play?
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 12 July 2010, at 2:11 a.m.