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54D-32 question for Nack

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Thursday, 15 July 2010, at 4:48 p.m.

In Response To: 54D-32 question for Nack (neilkaz)

Here's the three ply I have from Nack and Ken. I am interested in seeing as many of these choices as you are willing to do. D makes sense to me and slotting either the four or five point makes sense to me. I don't understand why S plays so well. And, I would have chosen Z before S if I had to split. Besides giving the lesser target, hitting with 54 & 63 in the outfield after Z is duplicated. The only plan that opener is prepared to execute is to make inner board points. So what is the idea behind leaving a target on the four?!? Perhaps Nack has seen enough that he can eliminate some of these five choices, but I can't.

	is XG Roller score: 0 pip: 158 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 167 score: 0 is Ken
XGID=-b----E-C---cE--ad-e----B-:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
to play 32

1.	Rollout1	13/11 13/10	eq: -0.165
	Player: Opponent: 46.29% (G:13.49% B:0.79%) 53.71% (G:17.28% B:1.30%) Conf: ± 0.005 (-0.170...-0.160) Duration: 21 hours 07 minutes
2.	Rollout1	24/21 13/11	eq: -0.171 (-0.007)
	Player: Opponent: 46.49% (G:12.16% B:0.69%) 53.51% (G:17.40% B:1.00%) Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.175...-0.167) Duration: 20 hours 48 minutes
3.	Rollout2	13/10 6/4	eq: -0.184 (-0.019)
	Player: Opponent: 46.40% (G:12.73% B:0.72%) 53.60% (G:17.98% B:1.49%) Conf: ± 0.007 (-0.191...-0.177) Duration: 9 hours 45 minutes
4.	Rollout2	24/22 13/10	eq: -0.187 (-0.022)
	Player: Opponent: 45.94% (G:12.33% B:0.71%) 54.06% (G:17.56% B:0.98%) Conf: ± 0.006 (-0.193...-0.181) Duration: 8 hours 54 minutes
5.	Rollout2	13/11 8/5	eq: -0.189 (-0.024)
	Player: Opponent: 46.22% (G:13.03% B:0.72%) 53.78% (G:17.82% B:1.50%) Conf: ± 0.007 (-0.196...-0.182) Duration: 10 hours 05 minutes
1 36288 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Rolled for both No double and Double Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 2 18144 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Rolled for both No double and Double Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20

Messages In This Thread

• 54D-32 question for Nack
  neilkaz -- Thursday, 15 July 2010, at 3:50 p.m.
  • 54D-32 question for Nack
    David Rockwell -- Thursday, 15 July 2010, at 4:48 p.m.
  • 54D-32 question for Nack
    Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 15 July 2010, at 5:40 p.m.
    • 54D-32, two GnuBG rollouts
      Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 15 July 2010, at 5:59 p.m.
      • 54D-32, two Snowie rollouts (look at *live cube equities)
        Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 15 July 2010, at 6:18 p.m.
        • 54D-32, two Snowie rollouts (look at *live cube equities)
          neilkaz -- Thursday, 15 July 2010, at 7:09 p.m.
          • 54D-32, two Snowie rollouts (look at *live cube equities)
            Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 15 July 2010, at 7:20 p.m.
      • 54D-32, two GnuBG rollouts
        David Rockwell -- Thursday, 15 July 2010, at 8:27 p.m.
        • 54D-32, two GnuBG rollouts
          Nack Ballard -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 12:55 a.m.