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another 3a-7a cube action

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Friday, 16 July 2010, at 12:33 a.m.

In Response To: another 3a-7a cube action (Leonardo Jerkovic)

here's the rollout:




is blotto

score: 0
pip: 121
7 point match
pip: 94
score: 4

is Lyurix
XGID=bBBBABB-A--A---bAb-bbAcb--:1:-1:-1:00:4:0:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 19.61% (G: 7.91% B: 1.37%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 80.39% (G: 51.22% B: 2.01%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 18.87% (G: 7.89% B: 1.70%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 81.13% (G: 46.65% B: 0.31%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:-0.858
Redouble:-0.684
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:-0.662
Redouble/Take:-0.684 (-0.022)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+1.662)
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.010 (-0.672...-0.653)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.014 (-0.698...-0.671)
Double Decision confidence: 99.5%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 5 minutes 54 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

ND/T, but it is close. Evaluation, unlike rollout, show this as D/T.

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