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61P-54 update

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Friday, 16 July 2010, at 8:02 p.m.

In Response To: 61P-54 update (Nack Ballard)

Long ago, Stick and I estimated the misplay value for an opening 52. In round numbers, it was .01. This is about as big as it gets. I would expect that misplay differences in the opening are normally in the .000 to .002 range. I have frequently opened with 52D hoping for a misplay only to watch my intermediate opponent roll 31 while I waive goodbye to my gambit equity forever. I believe it is very difficult to play winning backgammon while making deliberate mistakes.

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