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Monte Carlo Last 8

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 16 July 2010, at 9:40 p.m.

In Response To: Monte Carlo Last 8 (mamabear)

mamabear wrote:

The more they outplay the bot, the bigger the hit they will take in the "variance reduction" term or coefficient of whatever formula ends up being used.

I'm not sure this is true. Variance reduction is used to estimate the luck of the rolls in a game. It shouldn't make a difference whether the player is strong or weak or better than the bot or whatever. However, if the bot grossly misunderstands the position then its estimate of how lucky your rolls are will be off.

Messages In This Thread

• Monte Carlo Last 8
  Mike Main -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 1:15 a.m.
  • Monte Carlo Last 8
    Bill Riles -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 1:38 a.m.
  • Monte Carlo Last 8
    Bill Riles -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 1:48 a.m.
    • MC vs. ABT?
      adambulldog -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 2:05 a.m.
    • Monte Carlo Last 8
      David Rockwell -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 3:00 a.m.
      • Monte Carlo Last 8
        Bob Koca -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 4:33 a.m.
      • Monte Carlo Last 8
        Christian Munk-Christensen -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 7:08 a.m.
        • Monte Carlo Last 8
          David Rockwell -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 12:55 p.m.
          • Monte Carlo Last 8
            Timothy Chow -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 4:01 p.m.
            • Monte Carlo Last 8
              Bob Koca -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 4:07 p.m.
              • Monte Carlo Last 8
                Leonardo Jerkovic -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 5:10 p.m.
                • Monte Carlo Last 8
                  Bob Koca -- Monday, 19 July 2010, at 4:18 a.m.
                  • Monte Carlo Last 8
                    Leonardo Jerkovic -- Monday, 19 July 2010, at 7:44 a.m.
                    • Monte Carlo Last 8
                      Bob Koca -- Monday, 19 July 2010, at 8:07 a.m.
                      • Monte Carlo Last 8
                        Leonardo Jerkovic -- Monday, 19 July 2010, at 8:33 a.m.
                      • VR is not perfect on a single game
                        eXtreme Gammon -- Monday, 19 July 2010, at 1:11 p.m.
                        • VR is not perfect on a single game
                          Bob Koca -- Monday, 19 July 2010, at 2:14 p.m.
                      • Monte Carlo Last 8
                        mamabear -- Friday, 23 July 2010, at 6:29 p.m.
              • Monte Carlo Last 8
                Dale Kerr -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 5:21 p.m.
              • Monte Carlo Last 8
                Timothy Chow -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 6:07 p.m.
                • Monte Carlo Last 8
                  Leonardo Jerkovic -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 6:13 p.m.
                • Monte Carlo Last 8
                  Casper van der Tak -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 6:14 p.m.
              • Monte Carlo Last 8
                mamabear -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 9:33 p.m.
                • Monte Carlo Last 8
                  Timothy Chow -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 9:40 p.m.
                  • Monte Carlo Last 8
                    mamabear -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 11:15 p.m.
                    • Monte Carlo Last 8
                      Leonardo Jerkovic -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 11:29 p.m.
                      • Monte Carlo Last 8
                        mamabear -- Saturday, 17 July 2010, at 12:05 a.m.
                        • Monte Carlo Last 8
                          Leonardo Jerkovic -- Saturday, 17 July 2010, at 7:26 a.m.
                        • Monte Carlo Last 8
                          Bob Koca -- Monday, 19 July 2010, at 4:16 a.m.
                • Monte Carlo Last 8
                  Bob Koca -- Monday, 19 July 2010, at 4:11 a.m.
              • Monte Carlo Last 8
                Christian Munk-Christensen -- Saturday, 17 July 2010, at 8:25 a.m.
                • Monte Carlo Last 8
                  Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 17 July 2010, at 9:17 a.m.
                • Monte Carlo Last 8
                  mtuhtan -- Monday, 19 July 2010, at 8:30 a.m.
                  • Monte Carlo Last 8
                    Leonardo Jerkovic -- Monday, 19 July 2010, at 8:36 a.m.
            • Monte Carlo Last 8
              Christian Munk-Christensen -- Saturday, 17 July 2010, at 8:16 a.m.
    • Monte Carlo Last 8
      Christian Munk-Christensen -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 6:26 a.m.
      • Monte Carlo Last 8
        Bill Riles -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 3:05 p.m.
        • Monte Carlo Last 8
          Christian Munk-Christensen -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 4:14 p.m.
          • Monte Carlo Last 8
            Leonardo Jerkovic -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 5:09 p.m.
            • Monte Carlo Last 8
              Bill Riles -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 5:16 p.m.
              • Monte Carlo Last 8
                David Rockwell -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 5:23 p.m.
              • Monte Carlo Last 8
                Seth -- Saturday, 17 July 2010, at 3:08 a.m.
          • Monte Carlo Last 8
            Bill Riles -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 5:15 p.m.
    • Relative strength ABT Vs MC
      stw672 -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 3:46 p.m.
      • Relative strength ABT Vs MC
        adambulldog -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 3:58 p.m.
        • Relative strength ABT Vs MC
          Barry Silliman -- Saturday, 17 July 2010, at 1:21 a.m.
          • Glamour
            adambulldog -- Saturday, 17 July 2010, at 10:55 p.m.
            • Glamour
              Sam Pottle -- Monday, 19 July 2010, at 8:35 p.m.
        • Relative strength ABT Vs MC
          Joe Russell -- Saturday, 17 July 2010, at 3:50 a.m.
          • Relative strength ABT Vs MC
            Christian Munk-Christensen -- Saturday, 17 July 2010, at 7:31 a.m.
            • Relative strength ABT Vs MC
              Joe Russell -- Saturday, 17 July 2010, at 6:17 p.m.
  • Monte Carlo Last 8
    aoleg1 -- Friday, 16 July 2010, at 5:41 a.m.