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Rollout: Save a 6?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 18 July 2010, at 12:52 a.m.

In Response To: Save a 6? (Timothy Chow)

Saving a 6 in this sort of position is usually worth it if you're far ahead enough in the race that you can afford to trash your board and bury checkers, since you're just trying to get past safely and are not expecting to hit a shot. Nominally my pipcount is lower here but I'm not really "ahead" because I have buried checkers and an anchor that's further back. Saving a 6 isn't worth it here, especially since I'd have to run on 6-4 anyway. Compare with the variant position below where saving a 6 is correct.


gnubg75


2X2X2X2X2X2X1X '2O ' ' '

4O2O2O2O2O '1O ' ' ' '2X

tchow71

Position ID: 27YFBgBv2wQwAA Match ID: cAkOAEAAKAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 7/3 5/2 -0.111
0.4550.0010.000-0.5450.0250.001 -0.116 -0.111
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.001 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 890950775 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 7/4 5/1 -0.142 ( -0.031)
0.4470.0010.000-0.5530.0280.001 -0.133 -0.142
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.001 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 890950775 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 5/2 5/1 -0.171 ( -0.059)
0.4350.0020.000-0.5650.0130.000 -0.140 -0.171
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0000.000 0.002 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 890950775 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]


Variant position:

gnubg81


2X2X2X2X2X2X1X ' ' ' '2O

4O2O2O2O2O '1O '2X ' ' '

tchow65

Position ID: 27YFMABv2wQGAA Match ID: cAkOAEAAKAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 5/2 5/1 +0.409
0.6350.0020.000-0.3650.0120.000 +0.260 +0.409
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.002 0.004
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
468 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 896190332 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 7/3 5/2 +0.383 ( -0.026)
0.6230.0190.000-0.3770.0310.000 +0.233 +0.383
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0020.000 0.003 0.006
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
468 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 896190332 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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