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Rollouts Posted: 61P-53P-62, 61P-42P-63, 61P-31P-61, etc

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Sunday, 1 August 2010, at 10:35 a.m.

In Response To: Third-Roll Trio: 53P-61P-62, 42P-61P-63, 31P-61P-64 (Paul Weaver)

The XG eval says Z (13/7, split with smaller number) is best for these twelve positions: 61P-31P-61, 61P-31P-62, 61P-31P-63, 61P-42P-61, 61P-42P-62, 61P-42P-64, 61P-53P-61, 61P-53P-63, 61P-53P-64, 61P-64P-62, 61P-64P-63, 61P-64P-64.

However, Z is not possible in 61P-31P-64, 61P-42P-63, 61P-53P-62, 61P-64P-61.

Rollouts of six positions from this extended family appear below.





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----EBB---eD---b-d--b-B-:0:0:1:26:0:0:3:0:10
to play 26

1.Rollout113/11 13/7eq: +0.067
Player:
Opponent:
51.60% (G:16.46% B:0.81%)
48.40% (G:14.65% B:0.80%)
Conf: ± 0.011 (+0.056...+0.078)
Duration: 2 hours 08 minutes
2.Rollout124/16eq: +0.042 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
51.85% (G:12.55% B:0.60%)
48.15% (G:15.09% B:0.56%)
Conf: ± 0.011 (+0.031...+0.053)
Duration: 2 hours 24 minutes
3.Rollout213/7 6/4eq: +0.022 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:
50.96% (G:15.30% B:0.71%)
49.04% (G:15.17% B:0.87%)
Conf: ± 0.024 (-0.002...+0.046)
Duration: 48 minutes 43 seconds
4.Rollout224/18 13/11eq: -0.002 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:
51.14% (G:13.43% B:0.74%)
48.86% (G:16.15% B:0.71%)
Conf: ± 0.024 (-0.026...+0.022)
Duration: 53 minutes 40 seconds
5.Rollout213/5eq: -0.005 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:
50.12% (G:14.86% B:0.69%)
49.88% (G:15.46% B:0.88%)
Conf: ± 0.026 (-0.031...+0.021)
Duration: 52 minutes 20 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

2 1151 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 161
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----EBB---eD---b-d-b--B-:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
to play 63

1.Rollout124/15eq: -0.019
Player:
Opponent:
50.38% (G:12.29% B:0.67%)
49.62% (G:15.54% B:0.59%)
Conf: ± 0.016 (-0.035...-0.003)
Duration: 2 hours 00 minute
2.Rollout113/10 13/7eq: -0.055 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:
48.53% (G:15.63% B:0.79%)
51.47% (G:15.64% B:0.95%)
Conf: ± 0.015 (-0.070...-0.040)
Duration: 1 hour 49 minutes
3.Rollout224/18 13/10eq: -0.098 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:
48.76% (G:12.33% B:0.65%)
51.24% (G:16.96% B:0.76%)
Conf: ± 0.024 (-0.122...-0.074)
Duration: 1 hour 16 minutes
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----EBB---eD---b-d--b-B-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
to play 61

1.Rollout124/23 13/7eq: +0.086
Player:
Opponent:
52.24% (G:14.98% B:0.70%)
47.76% (G:13.96% B:0.57%)
Conf: ± 0.008 (+0.078...+0.094)
Duration: 2 hours 15 minutes
2.Rollout113/7 6/5eq: +0.069 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
52.04% (G:15.30% B:0.71%)
47.96% (G:14.70% B:0.87%)
Conf: ± 0.009 (+0.060...+0.078)
Duration: 2 hours 29 minutes
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 163
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----EBB---eD---b-db---B-:0:0:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
to play 64

1.Rollout124/14eq: -0.041
Player:
Opponent:
49.69% (G:11.90% B:0.61%)
50.31% (G:14.94% B:0.49%)
Conf: ± 0.021 (-0.062...-0.020)
Duration: 1 hour 12 minutes
2.Rollout113/9 13/7eq: -0.131 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:
46.63% (G:15.05% B:0.72%)
53.37% (G:15.76% B:0.83%)
Conf: ± 0.023 (-0.154...-0.108)
Duration: 1 hour 06 minutes
3.Rollout124/18 13/9eq: -0.135 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:
47.13% (G:12.95% B:0.68%)
52.87% (G:16.58% B:0.84%)
Conf: ± 0.024 (-0.159...-0.111)
Duration: 1 hour 15 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----EBB---eD---b-d---bB-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
to play 61

1.Rollout113/7 6/5eq: +0.168
Player:
Opponent:
53.90% (G:16.28% B:0.79%)
46.10% (G:13.94% B:0.77%)
Conf: ± 0.033 (+0.135...+0.201)
Duration: 1 hour 12 minutes
2.Rollout113/6eq: -0.005 (-0.173)
Player:
Opponent:
50.68% (G:15.15% B:0.71%)
49.32% (G:15.55% B:0.79%)
Conf: ± 0.022 (-0.027...+0.017)
Duration: 1 hour 02 minutes
3.Rollout124/18 6/5eq: -0.078 (-0.246)
Player:
Opponent:
49.61% (G:12.91% B:0.63%)
50.39% (G:18.80% B:0.89%)
Conf: ± 0.022 (-0.100...-0.056)
Duration: 1 hour 16 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----EBB---eD---b-d---bB-:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10
to play 62

1.Rollout124/22 13/7eq: +0.204
Player:
Opponent:
55.13% (G:16.07% B:0.75%)
44.87% (G:13.11% B:0.51%)
Conf: ± 0.019 (+0.185...+0.223)
Duration: 12 minutes 00 second
2.Rollout113/11 13/7eq: +0.132 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:
53.88% (G:17.25% B:0.85%)
46.12% (G:14.44% B:0.75%)
Conf: ± 0.024 (+0.108...+0.156)
Duration: 11 minutes 18 seconds
3.3 ply24/16eq: +0.094 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:
53.74% (G:12.86% B:0.59%)
46.26% (G:14.00% B:0.47%)
4.3 ply13/7 6/4eq: +0.093 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:
52.82% (G:15.30% B:0.72%)
47.18% (G:13.94% B:0.77%)
5.3 ply24/18 13/11eq: +0.078 (-0.126)
Player:
Opponent:
53.26% (G:13.58% B:0.66%)
46.74% (G:14.43% B:0.59%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20

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