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redouble problem - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Leonardo Jerkovic
Date: Sunday, 1 August 2010, at 7:00 p.m.

In Response To: redouble problem (Leonardo Jerkovic)

OTB I passed. How would u estimate this decision OTB ? XG eval takes it. What would be your calculations? I passed based on feeling mostly.

is Rino974

score: 2
pip: 72
                         
7 point match
                          pip: 73
score: 0

is dubrovnik
XGID=-CCB-CC-a-a---------bdbcbA:1:-1:-1:00:0:2:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
  Player Winning Chances: 79,67% (G: 0,61% B: 0,00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 20,33% (G: 0,57% B: 0,01%)
Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 79,92% (G: 1,26% B: 0,01%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 20,08% (G: 0,86% B: 0,01%)
 
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0,594
Redouble:+1,239
 
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0,821 (-0,179)
Redouble/Take:+1,005 (+0,005)
Redouble/Drop:+1,000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
 
Rollout details
2100 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1979
Moves and cube decisions: 5 ply
Search interval: Huge
 
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0,002 (+0,819...+0,823)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0,004 (+1,001...+1,009)
 
Double Decision confidence: 100,0%
Take Decision confidence: 99,6%
 
Duration: 4 hours 39 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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