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Explaning the Rollout Result

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Sunday, 8 August 2010, at 10:58 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout: Better point or better distribution? 64S-64D-42Z-32? (Timothy Chow)

As Kent Goulding once said, any idiot can get on TV in the evening and tell you the reasons the stock market acted as it did, but no one can get on TV before the market opens in the morning and tell you what it is going to do.

Similarly, any idiot can look at a rollout result and figure out reasons the top play in the rollout is best. Of course, you feel really silly if you later learn the rollout result was wrong.

In this position, making the 4pt triplicates White's 43, while giving White a non-productive 32 and a non-hitting 53. Making the 5pt gives White a good 43, 32 and 53.

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