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OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 8 August 2010, at 11:38 p.m.

In Response To: 4 primed and ugly (neilkaz)

OTB I didn't like my chances here inspite of the score as my two pt blot sucks and my opp's 4 prime is deep. I was convinced he knew how to further prime me and afraid of all the G losses so being unsure whether I could muster up a take, I passed.

However, it seems that I have enough counterchances AtS to take and my opp does have 4 men back and I do have my 11 pt.





is Grifon007

score: 2
pip: 169
7 point match
pip: 154
score: 0

is neilkaz
XGID=aaA--bD-D--BbB-a--bbbb--B-:0:0:-1:00:0:2:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 70.98% (G: 27.04% B: 2.34%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.02% (G: 5.81% B: 0.31%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 70.84% (G: 28.04% B: 3.02%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.16% (G: 5.90% B: 0.51%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.641
Double:+1.300
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.891 (-0.043)
Double/Take:+0.934
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.066)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 8782117
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.013 (+0.877...+0.904)
Confidence Double: ± 0.020 (+0.914...+0.954)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 23 minutes 21 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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