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63S-55A-51H-61R-52P-64S-33
Posted By: Nack Ballard In Response To: 33 move - 7th roll (Leonardo Jerkovic)
Date: Monday, 9 August 2010, at 3:02 a.m.
Was the sequence 63S-55A-51H-61R-52P-64S-33 (as encaptioned)?
147
63S-55A-51H-61R-52P-64S-33 146
Interesting problem. Plausible candidates are: 8/5(2) 6/3(2), 13/10(2) 6/3(2), 13/10 8/5(3), 20/8, 20/11 13/10 (looks wrong compared directly to 20/8), and 20/14 6/3(2) (but the 14pt is the wrong place to leave a shot).
I'm somewhat torn between the three plays, but I like 8/5(2) 6/3(2). Even if one of the other plays turns out to be theoretically better by a little, I prefer the greater complications that the first play offers.
Blue is ahead by only 1 pip. If he were ahead by more, then one of the running plays would be more attractive. Sometimes in othe quest to get home safely, it's better to make your points first and then run: you tend to win about the same number of games but you win more extra gammons than you lose.
Nack
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