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43D-31P-637-21N-52P-62R-Cube -8 -3 Rollout Result Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Monday, 9 August 2010, at 5:01 p.m.

In Response To: SixAway Doubles ThreeAway? (Paul Weaver)

Stick's Rule at -3/-8: NEVER DOUBLE. Peever's Rule at -8/-3: ALWAYS DOUBLE.





is Player 2

score: 8
pip: 152
11 point match
pip: 144
score: 3

is Player 1
XGID=-a--B-DBCa--dBa--b-cc---B-:0:0:1:00:3:8:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 53.92% (G: 21.92% B: 1.07%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 46.08% (G: 12.91% B: 1.65%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 54.12% (G: 22.25% B: 1.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 45.88% (G: 12.77% B: 2.26%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.138
Double:+0.538
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.498 (-0.014)
Double/Take:+0.511
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.489)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.011 (+0.487...+0.508)
Confidence Double: ± 0.013 (+0.499...+0.524)
Double Decision confidence: 94.6%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 3 hours 33 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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