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Insightful comment about luck versus skill

Posted By: Joe Russell
Date: Sunday, 15 August 2010, at 3:01 p.m.

In Response To: Insightful comment about luck versus skill (Perry Gartner)

In any competition, in the long-run the better/more skillful player will eventually outshine a less skilled player as long as there is a significant difference in their abilities, skill is a meaningful factor in the competition, and the competition is conducted fairly. The more luck there is in the competition the more time/contests the long-run may require.

If the average open backgammon player were to race Usain Blot in the hundred meter dash, the long-run might be a few seconds. If he were to play Stick Rice a series of three seven point-matches a day, the long-run might be weeks.

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