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Rollouts

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Friday, 29 June 2007, at 4:54 a.m.

In Response To: All shapes and sizes (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Hitting is correct. RD/T is correct. And Blue should still take after B/16.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 12: Blue to play 54

White	96
Blue	130
Position ID: 2+YQAwiwdwcDQA Match ID: QYkSAAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	bar/20 7/3*	-0.863
			0.367 0.070 0.003 - 0.633 0.385 0.003 -0.581 -0.863 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.004 0.012
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1067998945 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	bar/16	-0.919 ( -0.056)
			0.313 0.032 0.001 - 0.687 0.259 0.001 -0.600 -0.919 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.004 0.011
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1067998945 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	0	bar/20 6/2	-1.000 ( -0.137)
			0.313 0.077 0.005 - 0.687 0.390 0.002
	4	0	bar/20 8/4	-1.000 ( -0.137)
			0.322 0.072 0.003 - 0.678 0.453 0.004
	5	0	bar/20 13/9	-1.148 ( -0.285)
			0.245 0.055 0.002 - 0.755 0.529 0.013

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 4: Blue to play 54

White	96
Blue	130
Position ID: 2+YQAwiwdwcDQA Match ID: cIkSAAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	bar/20 7/3*	-0.865
			0.366 0.074 0.003 - 0.634 0.389 0.002 -0.582 -0.865 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.004 0.012
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1067998567 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	bar/16	-0.907 ( -0.041)
			0.314 0.032 0.001 - 0.686 0.259 0.001 -0.600 -0.907 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.003 0.000 0.004 0.012
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1067998567 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	0	bar/20 6/2	-1.000 ( -0.135)
			0.313 0.077 0.005 - 0.687 0.390 0.002
	4	0	bar/20 8/4	-1.000 ( -0.135)
			0.322 0.072 0.003 - 0.678 0.453 0.004
	5	0	bar/20 13/9	-1.000 ( -0.135)
			0.245 0.055 0.002 - 0.755 0.529 0.013

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 4: White on roll, cube decision?

White	96
Blue	121
Position ID: sHcHIwDb5hADCA Match ID: MAEAAAAAAAAA

• White doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.558
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.906
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.094
3.	No double	+0.531	-0.376
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.676 0.239 0.001 - 0.324 0.033 0.001 +0.558 +0.531 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.006 Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.686 0.259 0.001 - 0.314 0.032 0.001 +1.199 +0.906 Standard error 0.001 0.003 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.008 0.012
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1067998567 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 13: White on roll, cube decision?

White	96
Blue	121
Position ID: sHcHIwDb5hADCA Match ID: AQEAAAAAAAAA

• White doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.571
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.919
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.081
3.	No double	+0.681	-0.238
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player White owns 2-cube 0.675 0.253 0.001 - 0.325 0.032 0.001 +0.571 +0.681 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.004 0.005 Player Blue owns 4-cube 0.687 0.259 0.001 - 0.313 0.032 0.001 +1.199 +0.919 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.008 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1067998945 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 4: White on roll, cube decision?

White	99
Blue	121
Position ID: ZG8HAwLb5hADQA Match ID: MAEAAAAAAAAA

• White doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.539
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.867
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.133
3.	No double	+0.420	-0.447
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.623 0.362 0.003 - 0.377 0.070 0.002 +0.539 +0.420 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.006 Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.634 0.390 0.002 - 0.366 0.074 0.003 +1.165 +0.867 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.008 0.012
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1067998567 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 13: White on roll, cube decision?

White	99
Blue	121
Position ID: ZG8HAwLb5hADQA Match ID: AQEAAAAAAAAA

• White doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.560
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.863
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.137
3.	No double	+0.668	-0.195
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player White owns 2-cube 0.626 0.379 0.003 - 0.374 0.070 0.002 +0.560 +0.668 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.004 0.006 Player Blue owns 4-cube 0.633 0.385 0.003 - 0.367 0.070 0.003 +1.161 +0.863 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.008 0.012
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1067998945 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• All shapes and sizes
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 27 June 2007, at 6:49 a.m.
  • Re: All shapes and sizes
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 27 June 2007, at 7:00 a.m.
  • All shapes and sizes
    Stick -- Wednesday, 27 June 2007, at 8:17 a.m.
  • All shapes and sizes
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 27 June 2007, at 5:16 p.m.
  • Some results
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 28 June 2007, at 12:44 a.m.
  • Rollouts
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 29 June 2007, at 4:54 a.m.