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Position 1, OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 19 August 2010, at 6:35 p.m.

In Response To: A few consecutive cube decisions from tonite's match vs Phil (neilkaz)

I thought about cubing here for a while, but it just didn't seem good enough inspite of being slightly behind on the score board and it is certainly something no one will ever pass. The RO agrees that it was correct to wait. I did wait and had a joker sequence of 55-fan.




is simborg

score: 2
pip: 138
11 point match
pip: 138
score: 0

is neilkaz
XGID=-bBa-BC-CA---B---d-bc-cAA-:0:0:1:00:0:2:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 61.72% (G: 21.07% B: 1.59%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.28% (G: 13.42% B: 0.77%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.12% (G: 21.19% B: 1.60%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.88% (G: 13.30% B: 0.89%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.320
Double:+0.695
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.533
Double/Take:+0.494 (-0.039)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.467)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 8782117
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.011 (+0.522...+0.544)
Confidence Double: ± 0.014 (+0.479...+0.508)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 11 minutes 54 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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