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Pos 2, OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 19 August 2010, at 6:39 p.m.

In Response To: A few consecutive cube decisions from tonite's match vs Phil (neilkaz)

Here I figured that I had a small playon, intending to cube next roll most of the time if he entered. Off course I risk paying off to a superjoker 44 is some variations. The RO also shows slightly TG. Phil dance again, afterwhich I had clear playon, and then he hit me from the bar with his next roll.




is simborg

score: 2
pip: 141
11 point match
pip: 118
score: 0

is neilkaz
XGID=abBB-BC-AA---C---d-bc-c-A-:0:0:1:00:0:2:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 78.64% (G: 26.94% B: 2.15%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.36% (G: 3.49% B: 0.15%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 79.11% (G: 27.66% B: 2.31%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 20.89% (G: 3.57% B: 0.19%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.831
Double:+1.748
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+1.013
Double/Take:+1.609 (+0.595)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (-0.013)
Best Cube action: Too Good to Double / Drop
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 8782117
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.006 (+1.008...+1.019)
Confidence Double: ± 0.010 (+1.598...+1.619)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 8 minutes 23 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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