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Pos 3, OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 19 August 2010, at 6:44 p.m.

In Response To: A few consecutive cube decisions from tonite's match vs Phil (neilkaz)

I felt that this was a clear cube, but also a take since Black can turn it around and I don't like dancing. Of course, Black won't like it if I enter and hit and he will risk gammon losses if I enter and he has to attack by hitting loose. However, this take is clear. Unfortunately for Phil, he passed this. In his defence, it can be difficult to adjust one's frame of mind when the opp has been playing for a G for a few rolls and you've saved yourself with a great roll (in this case bar/15x)




is simborg

score: 2
pip: 131
11 point match
pip: 114
score: 0

is neilkaz
XGID=-bBB-BC-BAa--B---d-bc-c--A:0:0:1:00:0:2:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 66.43% (G: 20.27% B: 1.41%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.57% (G: 9.28% B: 0.43%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 66.53% (G: 20.54% B: 1.43%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.47% (G: 9.21% B: 0.47%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.450
Double:+0.945
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.644 (-0.107)
Double/Take:+0.750
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.250)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 8782117
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.009 (+0.634...+0.653)
Confidence Double: ± 0.012 (+0.739...+0.762)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 8 minutes 04 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.20, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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