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Rollout of cube decision after 7/3 6/5

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 20 August 2010, at 1:59 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout: Bearing in with no contact (Timothy Chow)

Given Stick's astute observation about GNU 2-ply's incorrect cube after 7/3 6/5, I rolled out the cube decision. The result narrows the gap between 10/5 and 7/3 6/5 considerably, to the point where the difference between the plays is negligible, though 7/3 6/5 seems to stay ahead by a hair.

Unlimited game: gnubg on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	60
tchow	59
Position ID: u2uHAAC2ewcAAA Match ID: MAEAAAAAAAAA

Alert: wrong double ( -0.008)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.377
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.570
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.430
3.	Double, take	+0.562	-0.008
Proper cube action:		No double, take (1.9%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.689 0.000 0.000 - 0.311 0.000 0.000 +0.377 +0.570 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 Player tchow owns 2-cube 0.689 0.000 0.000 - 0.311 0.000 0.000 +0.755 +0.562 Standard error 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 894370078 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Bearing in with no contact
  Timothy Chow -- Monday, 16 August 2010, at 11:27 p.m.
  • Bearing in with no contact
    Stick -- Monday, 16 August 2010, at 11:33 p.m.
    • Bearing in with no contact
      Alexandre Le Siege -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 1:36 p.m.
  • Bearing in with no contact
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 12:02 a.m.
    • Bearing in with no contact
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 12:30 a.m.
      • Bearing in with no contact
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 12:36 a.m.
      • Bearing in with no contact
        Stick -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 12:58 a.m.
        • MCG Cannot Bear In, But Can He Bear Off?
          Paul Weaver -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 1:17 a.m.
          • MCG Cannot Bear In, But Can He Bear Off?
            Stick -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 1:27 a.m.
            • Confucious Weighs In Regarding Bearing In and Bearing Off
              Paul Weaver -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 2:00 a.m.
              • Confucious Weighs In Regarding Bearing In and Bearing Off
                Stick -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 2:43 a.m.
  • Can Fernando Braconi Bear In?
    Paul Weaver -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 1:55 a.m.
    • Swing Numbers are 44, 43, 33
      Paul Weaver -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 3:12 a.m.
    • Can Fernando Braconi Bear In?
      Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 4:28 a.m.
    • Can Fernando Braconi Bear In?
      mochy -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 10:45 a.m.
      • Can Fernando Braconi Bear In?
        neilkaz -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 2:34 p.m.
        • Can Fernando Braconi Bear In?
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 3:24 p.m.
    • Can Fernando Braconi Bear In?
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 2:33 p.m.
      • Can Fernando Braconi Bear In?
        johnk -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 6:49 p.m.
  • Rollout: Bearing in with no contact
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 17 August 2010, at 10:28 p.m.
    • Rollout: Bearing in with no contact
      Stick -- Wednesday, 18 August 2010, at 12:23 a.m.
      • Rollout: Bearing in with no contact
        Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 18 August 2010, at 12:32 a.m.
        • Rollout: Bearing in with no contact
          Gregg Cattanach -- Wednesday, 18 August 2010, at 1:39 p.m.
        • Rollout: Bearing in with no contact
          Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 18 August 2010, at 5:14 p.m.
          • Rollout: Bearing in with no contact
            Gregg Cattanach -- Wednesday, 18 August 2010, at 7:13 p.m.
            • 15 DVD set?
              Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 19 August 2010, at 4:14 p.m.
              • 15 DVD set?
                Gregg Cattanach -- Monday, 23 August 2010, at 3:29 p.m.
          • Rollout: Bearing in with no contact
            Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 18 August 2010, at 8:09 p.m.
            • Rollout: Bearing in with no contact
              Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 19 August 2010, at 4:19 p.m.
              • Rollout: Bearing in with no contact
                Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 19 August 2010, at 5:13 p.m.
                • Rollout: Bearing in with no contact
                  Chuck Bower -- Friday, 20 August 2010, at 12:28 a.m.
        • Rollout: Bearing in with no contact
          Stick -- Wednesday, 18 August 2010, at 7:58 p.m.
    • Rollout of cube decision after 7/3 6/5
      Timothy Chow -- Friday, 20 August 2010, at 1:59 a.m.
  • DMP rollout: Bearing in with no contact
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 19 August 2010, at 3:59 p.m.