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BGonline.org Forums
Endgame cube ATS
Posted By: Sam Pottle In Response To: Endgame cube ATS (Fabrice Liardet)
Date: Friday, 20 August 2010, at 5:41 a.m.
It is written: symmetric 3-checker 12-pip bearoffs are mostly close takes for money. (mws? I think so.) Say 76-77%. Here White is a pip better, which is big, but Black is six pips better than White, which has to be a lot bigger. Does White have over 70% here?
The old-school MET gives a last-roll doubling window that opens at 70+%. Maybe White is in this window, but it's not a last-roll position. White gets use out of the cube next turn if he has 4, 5, or 6 pips left (after 61 53 43; 52 51 42; or 41), or about a third of the time.
I would wait.
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