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OLM Fr 08/20/10 ROLLOUT

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Saturday, 21 August 2010, at 6:57 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Fr 08/20/10 (Jason Lee)





White is Player 2

score: 8
pip: 121
15 point match
pip: 117
score: 12

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----cCCDB-a--BA---a-cbcb--:0:0:1:00:12:8:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in 7 ply
Player Winning Chances: 76.01% (G: 7.88% B: 0.23%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.99% (G: 2.40% B: 0.05%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.578
Double:+1.099
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.785
Double/Take:+0.754 (-0.031)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.215)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 76.12% (G: 7.95% B: 0.29%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.88% (G: 2.42% B: 0.05%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 76.59% (G: 7.62% B: 0.36%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.41% (G: 2.05% B: 0.08%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.582
Double:+1.125
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.799 (-0.005)
Double/Take:+0.804
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.196)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.004 (+0.795...+0.803)
Confidence Double: ± 0.007 (+0.797...+0.811)
Double Decision confidence: 88.2%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 4 hours 11 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 121
Money session
pip: 117
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----cCCDB-a--BA---a-cbcb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in 7 ply
Player Winning Chances: 76.03% (G: 7.89% B: 0.23%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.97% (G: 2.44% B: 0.06%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.577
Double:+1.154
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.844 (-0.147)
Double/Take:+0.991
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.009)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 75.89% (G: 7.75% B: 0.22%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24.11% (G: 2.24% B: 0.04%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 76.75% (G: 7.26% B: 0.17%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.25% (G: 2.22% B: 0.06%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.575
Double:+1.173
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.848 (-0.152)
Double/Take:+1.014 (+0.014)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.003 (+0.845...+0.852)
Confidence Double: ± 0.007 (+1.007...+1.020)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 3 hours 27 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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